Alternative Futures for Central Asia
Alternative Futures for Central Asia
How Far Will Integration and Cooperation Proceed?
This chapter examines future relative influence of external powers in Central Asia. China will inevitably have greater economic presence in the region due to complementarity and proximity. On the other hand, the United States has little economic interest, other than supporting the activities of specific companies in oil, agriculture, and the aircraft industry. Moreover, China appears to have no military intentions in Central Asia and may be less unhappy with U.S. and Russian air bases near Bishkek than if there were a Russian military monopoly on its border. Similarly, while U.S. observers may have reservations about China's economic rise, burgeoning trade that contributes to Central Asian prosperity is preferable to an alternative of a stagnating region of economic interest only to Russia.
Keywords: Central Asia, economic interest, China, United States, military interest, Russian military monopoly
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