Jump to ContentJump to Main Navigation
Economics and Youth ViolenceCrime, Disadvantage, and Community$
Users without a subscription are not able to see the full content.

Richard Rosenfeld, Mark Edberg, Xiangming Fang, and Curtis S. Florence

Print publication date: 2013

Print ISBN-13: 9780814789308

Published to NYU Press Scholarship Online: March 2016

DOI: 10.18574/nyu/9780814789308.001.0001

Show Summary Details
Page of

PRINTED FROM NYU Press SCHOLARSHIP ONLINE (www.nyu.universitypressscholarship.com). (c) Copyright University of NYU Press Press, 2021. All Rights Reserved. An individual user may print out a PDF of a single chapter of a monograph in NYSO for personal use.date: 16 September 2021

Are the Criminogenic Consequences of Economic Downturns Conditional?

Are the Criminogenic Consequences of Economic Downturns Conditional?

Assessing Potential Moderators of the Link between Adverse Economic Conditions and Crime Rates

Chapter:
(p.53) 3 Are the Criminogenic Consequences of Economic Downturns Conditional?
Source:
Economics and Youth Violence
Author(s):

Eric P. Baumer

Richard Rosenfeld

Kevin T. Wolff

Publisher:
NYU Press
DOI:10.18574/nyu/9780814789308.003.0003

This chapter shows how levels of inflation moderate the impact of unemployment on property crime and age-specific homicide rates for a sample of 82 American cities over the period between 1980 and 2009. The effect of unemployment on property crime rates and homicide is stronger during periods of high inflation; in fact, no relationship exists between unemployment and these crimes during periods of below-average inflation rates. And contrary to expectations, this study finds no evidence that the level of unemployment insurance benefits or a measure of drug market activity moderates the effect of economic adversity on crime rates. Thus it is recommended that future research on the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and crime rates move beyond simplistic assessments of “main effects” and consider the role of inflation and other conditions in moderating the relationship between crime rates and economic conditions such as unemployment and wages.

Keywords:   inflation, unemployment, crime rates, property crime, homicide, macroeconomic conditions

NYU Press Scholarship Online requires a subscription or purchase to access the full text of books within the service. Public users can however freely search the site and view the abstracts and keywords for each book and chapter.

Please, subscribe or login to access full text content.

If you think you should have access to this title, please contact your librarian.

To troubleshoot, please check our FAQs, and if you can't find the answer there, please contact us.